In its meeting today, the Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) has decided to maintain interest rates at five per cent. This will be the third time the committee has decided not changed the rate this year and follows cuts of 0.25 per cent which were actioned in both April and February.
Resulting from the MPC's decision, it is probable that consumers do not find any increased pressures on their finances. And during the current economic climate, at least homeowners should find that their mortgage repayments do not increase. Additionally, people could also discover that their is no increased pressure in managing other monetary demands - such as personal loans, credit and store cards and utility bills.
Barclays Stockbrokers equity strategist Henk Potts stated: "The monetary policy committee is caught between a slow growth rock and a high inflation hard place. UK economic growth is clearly moderating; consensus forecasts are for growth of just 1.6 per cent this year compared to the three per cent expansion recorded in 2007. However, outside the housing market and survey data, there is little hard evidence of a marked slowdown in UK aggregate demand."
He also claims that headline inflation is set to "stay high" for the rest of this year, also likely to move likely to move up from the current rate of 2.4 per cent is the consumer price index inflation. The increase in the latter was attributed towards increasing energy prices and continuing depreciation of the pound. However, he feels that the Bank of England is due to carry out further reductions to the base rate, with this he feels likely to stand at 4.25 per cent by the end of the year.
Director general at the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML), Michael Cougan claimed that although the MPC was required to strike a balance between slowing economic growth and rising inflationary pressures when making its decision, it is "disappointing" that they had missed a chance to cut the base rate. He also added that although the mortgage and housing markets are likely to face challenges for the rest of the year, most mortgage payers are "coping well".
However, Mr Coogan also advised those consumers who are having problems managing their money or feel that they may be about to develop problems to get in touch with their finance company or a debt advisory service as soon as possible.
For people who are concerned about their capacity to manage their money as 2008 progresses now might be an ideal time to take out a personal loan. By selecting this type of loan, it is possible that borrowers are able to supplement their spending effectively and make major purchases.
In research carried out by the CML last month it was indicated that an more homeowners are taking out mortgage products which track any changes to the base rate of interest. In February some 35 per cent of consumers were shown to be taking out tracker rate mortgages, an increase of 21 per cent compared to the 14 per cent recorded during the same month in 2007.
Bank Of England Interest Rates
At its monthly meeting in London today (December 6th), the MPC voted to reduce the base rate of interest attached to personal loans, credit cards and other borrowing products by a quarter percentage point to 5.5 per cent. This is the first time that the committee has cut rates since July 2005. According to the body, the decision was taken due to slowing economic growth, deterioration in the wider financial markets and a tightening in the supply of loans and other types of credit to both households and businesses. However, as a result of the announcement, a number of consumers could find that pressure on their spending will lessen during the coming months as charges on borrowing such as personal loans fall.
Meanwhile, the Bank reported that inflation on the consumer price index stood at 2.1 per cent over the course of October. It was suggested that increased food and energy prices are set to keep inflationary levels above target in the coming months, which in turn could impact upon people's ability to service other areas of their finances such as loans, mortgages and credit cards.
Commenting on the MPC decision, Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist for the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics), said: "Today's rate cut will provide some much needed relief for the 1.4 million homeowners who are due to refinance their mortgages over the next year or so. Higher money market rates resulting from the credit crunch threatened to lift the monthly out-goings for many of these borrowers which in turn could further crimp consumer spending during the course of 2008."
However, the Rics economist added that although it would be wrong for homeowners to "ignore the inflation risk", many people should be able to cope with "the sharp jump in food and oil prices". Mr Rubinsohn added that the institution expects the MPC to cut rates again in the early stages of 2008.
Stephen Leonard, director of mortgages for Alliance & Leicester, added that today's decision "is excellent news" for all homeowners, especially those who are due to find their short-term fixed-rate deals are set to expire. As a result of the move, consumers may find that their ability to make payments on mortgages, loans and other commitments is not under as much pressure following the Bank's previous moves to increase the base rate five times since August 2006.
The director added that such moves could also help prospective first-time buyers to get on to the property ladder as mortgages will become more affordable. He said: "Having enjoyed historically low fixed rates, this move to reduce the cost of borrowing will be a welcome one."
As a result of today's decrease, now could be an ideal time for those consumers who are currently struggling to handle their finances to apply for a loan. In taking out a personal loan, many people may find that it helps them to manage their money. According to Lloyds TSB's recent consumer barometer, a record 73 per cent of Britons believe that, in general, costs have increased over the last 12 months. Rises in mortgage payments, food prices and utility bills were reported to have taken place over the course of this year, with a cheap loan being one possible way to meet such expenses in the coming months.
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