The Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) has today announced that interest rates are to rise by 0.25 percentage points to 5.75 per cent. According to the committee, credit uptake and spending are growing "rapidly" as global economic expansion continues to increase. With this latest rise the third to have taken place over the course of 2007, borrowers could soon find pressure on their personal finances increasing.
Commenting on the figures, Mike Naylor, uSwitch personal finance expert said: "The impact of three base rate rises this year should not be underestimated - this is going to hurt a lot of households, especially those with variable rate mortgages. Thankfully, consumers can still cover the cost of the mortgage interest rate rises just by being a bit more savvy and switching their current account, credit cards and loans to get a better deal."
As a result of the July increase, consumers are set to find their secured loan costs have risen by 677 pounds since the start of 2007. However, with the financial comparison website reporting that interest rates are expected to rise up to the six per cent barrier by the end of the year homeowners could find their ability to make mortgage repayments squeezed even further. Mr Naylor added that "it is more important than ever" for consumers to start to consider changing personal finance products in order to get the best deal possible.
He suggested that by changing energy suppliers Britons could save up to 325 pounds a year. However, if consumers fail to do so than the uSwitch expert claimed that they could risk paying more money than necessary on their credit cards, overdrafts and mortgages.
Following the fifth MPC rise in under 12 months, managing director of moneysupermarket Stuart Glendinning claimed that the latest hike could be "the straw that breaks the camel's back". He added that the effect of various increases to consumers' monthly outgoings could be "devastating" as their personal finances face further pressure. Figures from the monetary company also revealed that following the 'shock' rise in January just over half of all homeowners claimed to have been adversely affected but, with two increases taking place since then, a "bleak" outlook was predicted for many consumers.
Meanwhile, Mark Blackwell, head of corporate and specialist lending for Cheltenham & Gloucester, suggested that the MPC could have "made the right move" by increasing the cost borrowing. He claimed that despite signs of the economy slowing down, house prices continue to rise as secured loan growth "remains resilient". Mr Blackwell also asserted that despite predictions among the financial market that another base rate increase will happen by the end of 2007, he suggested that such a move may not transpire until next year and could actually be a decrease.
Although Scottish Widows Investment Partnership pointed out that such a rise beyond the 5.75 per cent barrier were likely to be unnecessary, "there is a clear risk that an impatient MPC may push rates up to 6 per cent or beyond over the next few months".
Bank Of England Base Rate
While it is welcome news for borrowers this month, many in the City still expect there to be another rate rise in the next few months.
UK inflation dropped to 2.7% in April, down from an 3% - an 11-year high, but it is still higher than the target of 2%.
borrowers have witnessed three base rate rises of a quarter percentage point each since last summer: in August, November and January. A number of homeowners with luck or foresight on their side were canny enough to already have fixed rate deals in place on their mortgages, and following these rises the demand for fixed rate deals increased further.
Michael Cooke, senior partner at homeowner loans specialist The Loan Helper commented "It is a good thing that a number of homeowners have been prompted to put fixed rate mortgages in place to protect them from the higher cost of increases in the base rate in the future."
An increase this month had been seen as unlikely by many, after the minutes from last month's meeting suggested that the Monetary Policy Committee's members were keen to wait and see what effect the increases so far had had.
"The gist of the minutes to February's meeting was that the MPC really had time to sit and wait, to assess evidence to see whether upward risks to inflation were crystallising," observed Philip Shaw, economist at Investec.
The latest inflation figures are to be released later than usual this month, on 20 March, so the Monetary Policy Committee are unlikely to have been given a preview of them.
The Monetary Policy Committee is also likely to have been keen to know what is in the Chancellor's budget on March 21st before increasing rates again.
The Bank of England recently indicated that rates would need to rise one more time, to keep inflation close to its long-term target of 2%.
"I think there is some uncertainty about when the next rate rise will be, but April or May will become the favoured choices," observed BNP Paribas UK economist, Alan Clarke.
Such speculation should further fuel the ongoing consumer appetite for fixed rate deals on mortgages & remortgages, Michael Cooke further commented "of course, homeowners often need to raise further funds from time to time, and for those who have already secured a fixed rate, a remortgage often does not make financial sense compared to a secured loan which can often serve their needs much better by keeping that great fixed rate mortgage deal in place, yet still utilising available equity to secure a low rate loan to provide the funds required."
The minutes from March's Monetary Policy Committee meeting are to be published on Budget day morning.
There is likely to be much interest in whether the voting has changed from February's 7-2 result in favour of keeping rates unchanged.
Some people also thought that the recent falls on global stock markets suggested that a rate increase was less likely.
Economic adviser to the British Chambers of Commerce, David Kern noted: "Given the worsening global risks, highlighted by the acute turmoil on the international financial markets, an early hike in rates could have very harmful effects on business confidence and on the economy's growth prospects."
EEF, the manufacturers' organisation, also welcomed the decision not to raise rates.
"EEF believes that two of the Bank's stated fears, an escalation of earnings growth and firms pushing through significant price increases, have yet to materialise in any substantive fashion," it commented.
Both Abbi Rouse & Darren Ferneyhough are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Darren Ferneyhough has sinced written about articles on various topics from Personal Finance, Cars and Mortgage. Darren Ferneyhough is head of IT at The Money Helper and a respected commentator on a number of areas in the UK financial services market. Darren currently writes f. Darren Ferneyhough's top article generates over 27100 views. Bookmark Darren Ferneyhough to your Favourites.
Best Deals On Refrigerators When you consider that shopping with care can potentially save you hundreds of dollars, it is time very well invested